Who will have health insurance in the future? An updated projection

Richard A. Young, Jennifer Devoe

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

39 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The passage of the 2010 Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) in the United States put the issues of health care reform and health care costs back in the national spotlight. DeVoe and colleagues previously estimated that the cost of a family health insurance premium would equal the median household income by the year 2025. A slowdown in health care spending tied to the recent economic downturn and the passage of the PPACA occurred after this model was published. In this updated model, we estimate that this threshold will be crossed in 2033, and under favorable assumptions the PPACA may extend this date only to 2037. Continuing to make incremental changes in US health policy will likely not bend the cost curve, which has eluded policy makers for the past 50 years. Private health insurance will become increasingly unaffordable to low-to-middle- income Americans unless major changes are made in the US health care system.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)156-162
Number of pages7
JournalAnnals of Family Medicine
Volume10
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2012

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Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act
Health Insurance
Delivery of Health Care
Costs and Cost Analysis
Health Care Reform
Family Health
Health Policy
Insurance
Administrative Personnel
Health Care Costs
Economics

Keywords

  • Health care economics and organizations
  • Health expenditures
  • Health insurance
  • Health policy
  • Health policy research

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Family Practice

Cite this

Who will have health insurance in the future? An updated projection. / Young, Richard A.; Devoe, Jennifer.

In: Annals of Family Medicine, Vol. 10, No. 2, 03.2012, p. 156-162.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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