Phenotypes of disease severity in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients: Results from the IMPACC study

the IMPACC study group members

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2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Background: Better understanding of the association between characteristics of patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and outcome is needed to further improve upon patient management. Methods: Immunophenotyping Assessment in a COVID-19 Cohort (IMPACC) is a prospective, observational study of 1164 patients from 20 hospitals across the United States. Disease severity was assessed using a 7-point ordinal scale based on degree of respiratory illness. Patients were prospectively surveyed for 1 year after discharge for post-acute sequalae of COVID-19 (PASC) through quarterly surveys. Demographics, comorbidities, radiographic findings, clinical laboratory values, SARS-CoV-2 PCR and serology were captured over a 28-day period. Multivariable logistic regression was performed. Findings: The median age was 59 years (interquartile range [IQR] 20); 711 (61%) were men; overall mortality was 14%, and 228 (20%) required invasive mechanical ventilation. Unsupervised clustering of ordinal score over time revealed distinct disease course trajectories. Risk factors associated with prolonged hospitalization or death by day 28 included age ≥ 65 years (odds ratio [OR], 2.01; 95% CI 1.28–3.17), Hispanic ethnicity (OR, 1.71; 95% CI 1.13–2.57), elevated baseline creatinine (OR 2.80; 95% CI 1.63– 4.80) or troponin (OR 1.89; 95% 1.03–3.47), baseline lymphopenia (OR 2.19; 95% CI 1.61–2.97), presence of infiltrate by chest imaging (OR 3.16; 95% CI 1.96–5.10), and high SARS-CoV2 viral load (OR 1.53; 95% CI 1.17–2.00). Fatal cases had the lowest ratio of SARS-CoV-2 antibody to viral load levels compared to other trajectories over time (p=0.001). 589 survivors (51%) completed at least one survey at follow-up with 305 (52%) having at least one symptom consistent with PASC, most commonly dyspnea (56% among symptomatic patients). Female sex was the only associated risk factor for PASC. Interpretation: Integration of PCR cycle threshold, and antibody values with demographics, comorbidities, and laboratory/radiographic findings identified risk factors for 28-day outcome severity, though only female sex was associated with PASC. Longitudinal clinical phenotyping offers important insights, and provides a framework for immunophenotyping for acute and long COVID-19. Funding: NIH.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number104208
JournalEBioMedicine
Volume83
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2022

Keywords

  • Antibody
  • COVID-19
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Viral load

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)

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