Abstract
Background: Debate over the cardiometabolic risk associated with metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) continues. Many studies have investigated this relationship by examining MHO at baseline with longitudinal follow-up, with inconsistent results. Objectives: The authors hypothesized that MHO at baseline is transient and that transition to metabolic syndrome (MetS) and duration of MetS explains heterogeneity in incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. Methods: Among 6,809 participants of the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) the authors used Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models to investigate the joint association of obesity (≥30 kg/m2) and MetS (International Diabetes Federation consensus definition) with CVD and mortality across a median of 12.2 years. We tested for interaction and conducted sensitivity analyses for a number of conditions. Results: Compared with metabolically healthy normal weight, baseline MHO was not significantly associated with incident CVD; however, almost one-half of those participants developed MetS during follow-up (unstable MHO). Those who had unstable MHO had increased odds of CVD (odds ratio [OR]: 1.60; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14 to 2.25), compared with those with stable MHO or healthy normal weight. Dose response for duration of MetS was significantly and linearly associated with CVD (1 visit with MetS OR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.27 to 2.07; 2 visits, OR: 1.92; 95% CI: 1.48 to 2.49; 3+ visits, OR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.89 to 2.87; p value for trend <0.001) and MetS mediated approximately 62% (44% to 100%) of the relationship between obesity at any point during follow-up and CVD. Conclusions: Metabolically healthy obesity is not a stable or reliable indicator of future risk for CVD. Weight loss and lifestyle management for CVD risk factors should be recommended to all individuals with obesity.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1857-1865 |
| Number of pages | 9 |
| Journal | Journal of the American College of Cardiology |
| Volume | 71 |
| Issue number | 17 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - May 1 2018 |
| Externally published | Yes |
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Keywords
- cardiovascular disease
- epidemiology
- metabolic syndrome
- metabolically healthy obesity
- mortality
- obesity
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine
Cite this
Metabolically Healthy Obesity, Transition to Metabolic Syndrome, and Cardiovascular Risk. / Mongraw-Chaffin, Morgana; Foster, Meredith C.; Anderson, Cheryl A.M.; Burke, Gregory L.; Haq, Nowreen; Kalyani, Rita R.; Ouyang, Pamela; Sibley, Christopher; Tracy, Russell; Woodward, Mark; Vaidya, Dhananjay.
In: Journal of the American College of Cardiology, Vol. 71, No. 17, 01.05.2018, p. 1857-1865.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Metabolically Healthy Obesity, Transition to Metabolic Syndrome, and Cardiovascular Risk
AU - Mongraw-Chaffin, Morgana
AU - Foster, Meredith C.
AU - Anderson, Cheryl A.M.
AU - Burke, Gregory L.
AU - Haq, Nowreen
AU - Kalyani, Rita R.
AU - Ouyang, Pamela
AU - Sibley, Christopher
AU - Tracy, Russell
AU - Woodward, Mark
AU - Vaidya, Dhananjay
PY - 2018/5/1
Y1 - 2018/5/1
N2 - Background: Debate over the cardiometabolic risk associated with metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) continues. Many studies have investigated this relationship by examining MHO at baseline with longitudinal follow-up, with inconsistent results. Objectives: The authors hypothesized that MHO at baseline is transient and that transition to metabolic syndrome (MetS) and duration of MetS explains heterogeneity in incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. Methods: Among 6,809 participants of the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) the authors used Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models to investigate the joint association of obesity (≥30 kg/m2) and MetS (International Diabetes Federation consensus definition) with CVD and mortality across a median of 12.2 years. We tested for interaction and conducted sensitivity analyses for a number of conditions. Results: Compared with metabolically healthy normal weight, baseline MHO was not significantly associated with incident CVD; however, almost one-half of those participants developed MetS during follow-up (unstable MHO). Those who had unstable MHO had increased odds of CVD (odds ratio [OR]: 1.60; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14 to 2.25), compared with those with stable MHO or healthy normal weight. Dose response for duration of MetS was significantly and linearly associated with CVD (1 visit with MetS OR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.27 to 2.07; 2 visits, OR: 1.92; 95% CI: 1.48 to 2.49; 3+ visits, OR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.89 to 2.87; p value for trend <0.001) and MetS mediated approximately 62% (44% to 100%) of the relationship between obesity at any point during follow-up and CVD. Conclusions: Metabolically healthy obesity is not a stable or reliable indicator of future risk for CVD. Weight loss and lifestyle management for CVD risk factors should be recommended to all individuals with obesity.
AB - Background: Debate over the cardiometabolic risk associated with metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) continues. Many studies have investigated this relationship by examining MHO at baseline with longitudinal follow-up, with inconsistent results. Objectives: The authors hypothesized that MHO at baseline is transient and that transition to metabolic syndrome (MetS) and duration of MetS explains heterogeneity in incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. Methods: Among 6,809 participants of the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) the authors used Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models to investigate the joint association of obesity (≥30 kg/m2) and MetS (International Diabetes Federation consensus definition) with CVD and mortality across a median of 12.2 years. We tested for interaction and conducted sensitivity analyses for a number of conditions. Results: Compared with metabolically healthy normal weight, baseline MHO was not significantly associated with incident CVD; however, almost one-half of those participants developed MetS during follow-up (unstable MHO). Those who had unstable MHO had increased odds of CVD (odds ratio [OR]: 1.60; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14 to 2.25), compared with those with stable MHO or healthy normal weight. Dose response for duration of MetS was significantly and linearly associated with CVD (1 visit with MetS OR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.27 to 2.07; 2 visits, OR: 1.92; 95% CI: 1.48 to 2.49; 3+ visits, OR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.89 to 2.87; p value for trend <0.001) and MetS mediated approximately 62% (44% to 100%) of the relationship between obesity at any point during follow-up and CVD. Conclusions: Metabolically healthy obesity is not a stable or reliable indicator of future risk for CVD. Weight loss and lifestyle management for CVD risk factors should be recommended to all individuals with obesity.
KW - cardiovascular disease
KW - epidemiology
KW - metabolic syndrome
KW - metabolically healthy obesity
KW - mortality
KW - obesity
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85045479716&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85045479716&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.jacc.2018.02.055
DO - 10.1016/j.jacc.2018.02.055
M3 - Article
C2 - 29699611
AN - SCOPUS:85045479716
VL - 71
SP - 1857
EP - 1865
JO - Journal of the American College of Cardiology
JF - Journal of the American College of Cardiology
SN - 0735-1097
IS - 17
ER -