TY - JOUR
T1 - Increasing mortality burden among adults with complex congenital heart disease
AU - Greutmann, Matthias
AU - Tobler, Daniel
AU - Kovacs, Adrienne H.
AU - Greutmann-Yantiri, Mehtap
AU - Haile, Sarah R.
AU - Held, Leonhard
AU - Ivanov, Joan
AU - Williams, William G.
AU - Oechslin, Erwin N.
AU - Silversides, Candice K.
AU - Colman, Jack M.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2014 The Authors.
Copyright:
Copyright 2016 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2015/3/1
Y1 - 2015/3/1
N2 - Background: Progress in management of congenital heart disease has shifted mortality largely to adulthood. However, adult survivors with complex congenital heart disease are not cured and remain at risk of premature death as young adults. Thus, our aim was to describe the evolution and mortality risk of adult patient cohorts with complex congenital heart disease. Methods: Among 12644 adults with congenital heart disease followed at a single center from 1980 to 2009, 176 had Eisenmenger syndrome, 76 had unrepaired cyanotic defects, 221 had atrial switch operations for transposition of the great arteries, 158 had congenitally corrected transposition of the great arteries, 227 had Fontan palliation, and 789 had repaired tetralogy of Fallot. We depict the 30-year evolution of these 6 patient cohorts, analyze survival probabilities in adulthood, and predict future number of deaths through 2029. Results: Since 1980, there has been a steady increase in numbers of patients followed, except in cohorts with Eisenmenger syndrome and unrepaired cyanotic defects. Between 1980 and 2009, 308 patients in the study cohorts (19%) died. At the end of 2009, 85% of survivors were younger than 50 years. Survival estimates for all cohorts were markedly lower than for the general population, with important differences between cohorts. Over the upcoming two decades, we predict a substantial increase in numbers of deaths among young adults with subaortic right ventricles, Fontan palliation, and repaired tetralogy of Fallot. Conclusions: Anticipatory action is needed to prepare clinical services for increasing numbers of young adults at risk of dying from complex congenital heart disease.
AB - Background: Progress in management of congenital heart disease has shifted mortality largely to adulthood. However, adult survivors with complex congenital heart disease are not cured and remain at risk of premature death as young adults. Thus, our aim was to describe the evolution and mortality risk of adult patient cohorts with complex congenital heart disease. Methods: Among 12644 adults with congenital heart disease followed at a single center from 1980 to 2009, 176 had Eisenmenger syndrome, 76 had unrepaired cyanotic defects, 221 had atrial switch operations for transposition of the great arteries, 158 had congenitally corrected transposition of the great arteries, 227 had Fontan palliation, and 789 had repaired tetralogy of Fallot. We depict the 30-year evolution of these 6 patient cohorts, analyze survival probabilities in adulthood, and predict future number of deaths through 2029. Results: Since 1980, there has been a steady increase in numbers of patients followed, except in cohorts with Eisenmenger syndrome and unrepaired cyanotic defects. Between 1980 and 2009, 308 patients in the study cohorts (19%) died. At the end of 2009, 85% of survivors were younger than 50 years. Survival estimates for all cohorts were markedly lower than for the general population, with important differences between cohorts. Over the upcoming two decades, we predict a substantial increase in numbers of deaths among young adults with subaortic right ventricles, Fontan palliation, and repaired tetralogy of Fallot. Conclusions: Anticipatory action is needed to prepare clinical services for increasing numbers of young adults at risk of dying from complex congenital heart disease.
KW - Adult congenital heart disease
KW - Congenital heart surgery
KW - Mortality
KW - Outcomes
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84927797545&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84927797545&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1111/chd.12201
DO - 10.1111/chd.12201
M3 - Article
C2 - 25043406
AN - SCOPUS:84927797545
VL - 10
SP - 117
EP - 127
JO - Congenital Heart Disease
JF - Congenital Heart Disease
SN - 1747-079X
IS - 2
ER -