Evaluation of land use regression models for NO2 in El Paso, Texas, USA

Melissa Gonzales, Orrin Myers, Luther Smith, Hector A. Olvera, Shaibal Mukerjee, Wen Whai Li, Nicholas Pingitore, Maria Amaya, Scott Burchiel, Marianne Berwick

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

15 Scopus citations

Abstract

Developing suitable exposure estimates for air pollution health studies is problematic due to spatial and temporal variation in concentrations and often limited monitoring data. Though land use regression models (LURs) are often used for this purpose, their applicability to later periods of time, larger geographic areas, and seasonal variation is largely untested. We evaluate a series of mixed model LURs to describe the spatial-temporal gradients of NO2 across El Paso County, Texas based on measurements collected during cool and warm seasons in 2006-2007 (2006-7). We also evaluated performance of a general additive model (GAM) developed for central El Paso in 1999 to assess spatial gradients across the County in 2006-7. Five LURs were developed iteratively from the study data and their predictions were averaged to provide robust nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentration gradients across the county. Despite differences in sampling time frame, model covariates and model estimation methods, predicted NO2 concentration gradients were similar in the current study as compared to the 1999 study. Through a comprehensive LUR modeling campaign, it was shown that the nature of the most influential predictive variables remained the same for El Paso between 1999 and 2006-7. The similar LUR results obtained here demonstrate that, at least for El Paso, LURs developed from prior years may still be applicable to assess exposure conditions in subsequent years and in different seasons when seasonal variation is taken into consideration.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)135-142
Number of pages8
JournalScience of the Total Environment
Volume432
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 15 2012
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Exposure models
  • Exposure variability
  • Land use regression
  • Monitoring
  • Nitrogen dioxide

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Engineering
  • Environmental Chemistry
  • Waste Management and Disposal
  • Pollution

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