Abstract
Daily microbiological water quality and precipitation data spanning 6 years were collected from monitoring stations at southern California beaches. Daily precipitation projected for the twenty-first century was derived from downscaled CNRM CM3 global climate model. A time series model of Enterococcus concentrations that was driven by precipitation, matched the general trend of empirical water quality data; there was a positive association between precipitation and microbiological water contamination (P < 0.001). Future projections of precipitation result in a decrease in predicted Enterococcus levels through the majority of the twenty-first century. Nevertheless, variability of storminess due to climate change calls for innovative adaptation and surveillance strategies.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 293-297 |
Number of pages | 5 |
Journal | EcoHealth |
Volume | 9 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Sep 2012 |
Keywords
- Climate change
- Enterococcus
- Gastroenteritis
- Precipitation
- Recreational water use
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Ecology
- Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis